Cristhian Molina

Cristhian Molina

Ph.D. Candidate in Economics

University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

About Me

I am an applied microeconomist and PhD candidate at the University of Illinois (graduating May 2026). My work focuses on labor economics, the economics of education, and industrial organization. I use causal inference and advanced data tools to analyze strategic behavior and market responses to regulation.

Research

Working Papers

When Rankings Reward Age: Admissions Formula and the College Application Gap

[PDF]
College admissions formulas determine which student characteristics translate into admission chances, and when they change, they can interact with differences along dimensions the designer did not target. I study Chile's 2013 ranking reform, which required programs to place at least 10 percent of admissions weight on a student's class rank within their own school. Because age at school entry affects academic performance, the reform raised the weight on a dimension correlated with the school-entry cutoff. Using a difference-in-discontinuities design, I find that the reform widened the application gap at the July 1 cutoff by 3.8 percentage points (12 percent) and the GPA gap by 0.082 standard deviations. The response concentrates in secondary-educated, higher-income families. Marginal applicants are less likely to be admitted or to enroll, producing no net gain in enrollment. Formula design can interact with age-at-entry differences to produce distributional effects in college access.

When Certification Hurts: Accreditation Signals and Graduate Wages

with Rocío Valdebenito.

[PDF]
Employers cannot directly observe program quality, and institutional reputation provides reliable signals for only a small fraction of graduates. We study whether program-level accreditation in Chile affects graduate wages, using a staggered difference-in-differences design applied to administrative earnings records for approximately 2,000 programs and exploiting first-time accreditation decisions between 2007 and 2018. After accreditation, the ability composition of graduating cohorts shifts upward while the formal employment rate falls. The average wage effect is approximately 3 percent, concentrated at longer horizons when higher-ability cohorts begin graduating. The wage response varies systematically with institutional reputation and accreditation intensity, increasing by 9.1 percent at lower-reputation institutions and decreasing by 4.8 percent at elite institutions. The wage response is largest where prior information about the program was scarce, and the accreditation term was short.

Signaling Quality or Gaming the System? Evidence from College-Major Accreditation

with Rocío Valdebenito.

[PDF]
This paper examines program-level accreditation in higher education, analyzing student responses and institutional adjustments to this quality signal. Using administrative data from Chile (2007-2018) and a difference-in-differences approach exploiting staggered adoption, we estimate the effects of this information shock. First-time accreditation increases student demand (applications +10.2%, enrollment +7.3%), attracts stronger students, and reduces transfers, suggesting improved match quality. These effects are consistent across socioeconomic backgrounds. Investigating the signal's construction, we find no evidence of pre-accreditation increases in long-term structural inputs but document a significant rise in on-time graduation rates concentrated immediately before evaluation and not sustained post-accreditation. Effects are amplified by institutional reputation and weaker under mandatory regimes. Our findings reveal a policy trade-off: accreditation signals can enhance student sorting, even when institutional responses focus on evaluation metrics rather than long-term, structural improvements.

Work in Progress

Grading the Graders: Competition and Quality Inflation in Certification Markets

Teaching

Teaching Statement

My teaching statement is available for download.

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Teaching Evaluations

A summary of my teaching evaluations from the University of Illinois and Universidad de Santiago de Chile is available for download.

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Lecturer

Intermediate Microeconomics

Universidad de Santiago de Chile

Spring 2019

Microeconomic Principles

Universidad de Santiago de Chile

Spring 2018, Fall 2018, Spring 2019

Introduction to Economics

Universidad de Santiago de Chile

Spring 2018, Fall 2018, Spring 2019

Teaching Assistant

Intermediate Microeconomic Theory

University of Illinois (Fall 2023, Spring 2023, Fall 2024, Spring 2025)

Microeconomic Principles

University of Illinois (Fall 2020, Spring 2021, Fall 2021)

Awards & Honors

List of Teachers Ranked as Excellent

University of Illinois

Spring 2023, Fall 2023, Fall 2024, Spring 2025

More About Me

Hiking at Torres del Paine, Chile

Torres del Paine, Chile.

Outside of research and teaching, I have a variety of interests. I grew up playing soccer in Chile and continue to enjoy sports and outdoor activities. Coming from Chile, hiking is a must, and it's something that I enjoy tremendously while doing my PhD as well.

I'm also passionate about music—listening to new artists, sharing musical tastes, and going to concerts. I also play guitar as a hobby.

At home, I have a black cat named Inosuke.

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